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Red51
769417.2
83914.6
574615.8
Blue49
22818.4
19518.6
888917.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396220805149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.9
15.216.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.1
blue by 1.5
195
#3
18.60.5
20.019.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End1.0
Second
15.80.9
12.713.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End1.9
blue by 2.6
228
#16
18.40.3
15.315.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End0.3
Third
839
#20
14.61.5
10.011.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.8
blue by 2.9
8889
#14
17.50.5
18.317.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed