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Red66
206722.1
574615.8
216816.5
Blue49
23713.0
17814.2
23025.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435602060801006649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.12.8
13.816.7
Auto9.4
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 3.6
230
#13
25.70.0
26.326.3
Auto11.4
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Second
2168
#10
16.52.8
13.015.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.5
red by 2.3
178
#29
14.20.0
9.69.6
Auto6.2
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Third
15.81.7
13.615.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End1.9
red by 2.8
237
#25
13.00.0
12.913.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed