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Red40
109913.9
97109.5
870917.6
Blue39
346116.6
19518.6
36348.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364802060801004039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.1
11.911.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.0
End0.8
blue by 1.0
195
#3
18.60.4
19.419.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End1.0
Second
1099
#24
13.90.1
11.611.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End2.2
blue by 2.7
3461
#15
16.60.4
18.317.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Third
9710
#17
9.50.1
10.610.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.3
red by 0.9
3634
#31
8.60.2
4.54.3
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed