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Red47
83914.6
23025.7
22818.4
Blue56
97109.5
216816.5
15517.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644902040801001204756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#13
25.71.2
26.325.1
Auto11.4
Teleop13.2
End1.1
red by 8.0
155
#12
17.70.5
19.519.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Second
228
#16
18.40.7
16.015.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End0.3
red by 1.9
2168
#10
16.50.5
15.915.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.5
Third
839
#20
14.61.2
13.612.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.8
red by 5.1
9710
#17
9.50.5
10.59.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned