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Red36
19518.6
109913.9
919315.0
Blue54
23713.0
574615.8
346116.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4851204060801003654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
18.60.9
19.118.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End1.0
red by 2.0
3461
#15
16.60.9
17.917.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Second
9193
#26
15.00.5
13.613.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.2
End0.7
blue by 0.8
15.80.5
15.314.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End1.9
Third
1099
#24
13.90.9
11.410.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End2.2
red by 0.9
237
#25
13.00.9
13.012.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned