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Red58
17637.0
22818.4
97109.5
Blue64
55819.6
314622.7
206722.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635701001505864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
37.00.3
30.830.5
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End1.8
red by 14.4
22.70.8
20.321.1
Auto10.6
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Second
228
#16
18.40.2
15.215.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End0.3
blue by 3.7
22.11.2
17.118.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
9710
#17
9.50.3
9.99.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 10.1
558
#19
19.61.2
14.916.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned