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Red53
78699.0
71620.9
574615.8
Blue56
346116.6
365414.6
514220.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48510204060801001205356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#11
20.91.0
19.220.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End1.3
red by 0.5
20.31.1
18.719.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Second
15.80.6
14.815.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End1.9
blue by 0.8
3461
#15
16.61.1
17.018.1
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Third
7869
#27
9.00.6
9.510.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End1.3
blue by 5.6
3654
#21
14.61.1
10.011.1
Auto9.2
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed