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Red63
55819.6
870917.6
71620.9
Blue38
19917.4
206722.1
37198.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54350204060801006338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#11
20.91.6
20.221.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 1.2
22.10.2
18.318.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Second
558
#19
19.61.6
16.117.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
red by 11.5
3719
#32
8.10.2
5.15.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.6
End1.0
Third
17.61.6
10.111.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.0
End0.8
red by 10.2
1991
#22
7.40.1
10.510.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed