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Red31
919315.0
36348.6
206414.9
Blue65
216816.5
314622.7
769417.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296302040801001203165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9193
#26
15.00.0
12.312.4
Auto7.1
Teleop7.2
End0.7
blue by 7.7
22.70.4
21.121.5
Auto10.6
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Second
2064
#18
14.90.0
11.211.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 2.3
17.20.4
16.516.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Third
3634
#31
8.60.0
6.86.8
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 7.9
2168
#10
16.50.5
15.015.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed