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Red57
37198.1
22818.4
55819.6
Blue35
109913.9
78699.0
83914.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040253035455055605735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#19
19.61.8
17.719.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
red by 5.1
839
#20
14.60.1
13.613.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.8
Second
228
#16
18.41.3
14.015.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End0.3
red by 4.5
1099
#24
13.90.1
13.113.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Third
3719
#32
8.11.8
5.37.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.6
End1.0
blue by 0.8
7869
#27
9.00.1
9.29.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed