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Red62
574615.8
97109.5
919315.0
Blue51
15517.7
36348.6
634621.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4351102030607080906251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.80.8
16.317.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End1.9
blue by 5.2
6346
#23
21.00.3
20.220.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
Second
9193
#26
15.00.8
12.413.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.2
End0.7
blue by 2.7
155
#12
17.70.3
18.118.4
Auto7.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Third
9710
#17
9.51.1
11.212.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.3
red by 0.9
3634
#31
8.60.3
6.87.1
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed