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Red55
514220.3
672312.9
888917.5
Blue39
17814.2
365414.6
314622.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53490204060801001201405539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.6
18.319.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.0
blue by 2.3
22.70.5
21.520.9
Auto10.6
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Second
8889
#14
17.50.6
16.917.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End1.9
red by 3.0
3654
#21
14.60.7
12.411.7
Auto9.2
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Third
6723
#30
12.90.6
12.513.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 1.3
178
#29
14.20.7
11.110.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed