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Red54
109913.9
15517.7
206722.1
Blue45
672312.9
55819.6
574615.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565540506070805445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.3
19.419.7
Auto9.4
Teleop11.1
End1.7
red by 2.4
558
#19
19.60.4
19.519.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Second
155
#12
17.70.3
18.418.7
Auto7.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
red by 1.9
15.80.3
17.116.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End1.9
Third
1099
#24
13.90.3
13.013.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End2.2
red by 1.0
6723
#30
12.90.4
13.212.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed