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Red45
37198.1
919315.0
365414.6
Blue68
346116.6
22818.4
17814.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33480204060804568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9193
#26
15.00.9
13.214.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.2
End0.7
blue by 3.4
228
#16
18.41.8
15.417.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End0.3
Second
3654
#21
14.61.1
11.712.7
Auto9.2
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 2.0
3461
#15
16.62.3
16.018.3
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Third
3719
#32
8.11.1
7.18.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.6
End1.0
blue by 6.1
178
#29
14.22.1
10.412.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed