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Red39
769417.2
97109.5
19518.6
Blue51
888917.5
19917.4
216816.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5647203040607080903951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
18.62.1
19.817.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End1.0
red by 1.1
8889
#14
17.50.2
17.517.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Second
17.21.7
17.515.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.1
red by 0.7
2168
#10
16.50.2
15.515.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.5
Third
9710
#17
9.52.1
12.310.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.3
red by 2.2
1991
#22
7.40.2
10.710.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsEarned