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Red77
457216.9
99925.1
22818.4
Blue74
870917.6
206414.9
314622.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65502040801001207774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#2
25.11.8
23.925.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.2
End1.2
red by 2.4
22.71.5
21.222.7
Auto10.6
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Second
228
#16
18.41.3
17.118.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End0.3
red by 0.7
17.61.8
14.516.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.0
End0.8
Third
4572
#28
16.91.3
16.317.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.7
red by 2.1
2064
#18
14.91.5
11.212.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed