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Red67
365414.6
23713.0
514220.3
Blue64
55819.6
346116.6
109913.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45582040801006764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.8
18.620.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.0
red by 0.7
558
#19
19.60.6
19.119.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Second
3654
#21
14.61.8
12.714.6
Auto9.2
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 2.0
3461
#15
16.60.7
18.319.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Third
237
#25
13.01.8
11.213.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 0.9
1099
#24
13.90.6
13.313.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed