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Red62
206722.1
36348.6
17814.2
Blue57
19917.4
15517.7
574615.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060801006257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.7
19.721.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.1
End1.7
red by 4.4
155
#12
17.71.0
18.717.6
Auto7.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Second
178
#29DQ
14.21.7
12.514.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 1.6
15.80.9
16.815.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End1.9
Third
3634
#31
8.61.5
7.18.6
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End1.5
red by 1.2
1991
#22
7.40.9
10.59.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned