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Red80
870917.6
919315.0
99925.1
Blue40
457216.9
71620.9
97109.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63532040801001208040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#2
25.11.1
25.626.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.2
End1.2
red by 4.2
716
#11
20.90.7
21.320.6
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Second
17.61.0
16.317.4
Auto5.9
Teleop11.0
End0.8
red by 0.7
4572
#28
16.90.6
17.617.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
9193
#26
15.00.9
14.015.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.2
End0.7
red by 5.4
9710
#17
9.50.7
10.29.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed