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Red50
409927.5
317919.4
901625.5
Blue87
93031.6
851328.5
860839.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7796601205087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#64
27.51.5
28.827.3
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End1.2
blue by 11.9
39.40.7
32.932.2
Auto14.8
Teleop19.2
End5.4
Second
9016
#29
25.51.5
26.324.8
Auto11.5
Teleop10.5
End3.5
blue by 6.1
930
#27
31.60.7
24.323.6
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1
Third
3179
#42
19.41.5
16.815.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 9.1
8513
#19
28.50.7
27.727.0
Auto11.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned53%Ensemble oddsEarned