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Red79
590734.7
742130.9
19024.7
Blue93
95647.1
62435.3
253943.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99792040601201401607993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#30
34.70.5
26.926.4
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End2.2
blue by 8.8
43.51.0
32.733.7
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Second
7421
#43
30.90.5
31.230.7
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End2.6
blue by 4.4
624
#17
35.31.0
34.835.7
Auto10.3
Teleop22.1
End2.9
Third
190
#32
24.70.5
28.728.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 17.6
9564
#70DQ
7.11.2
6.07.2
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed66%Ensemble oddsEarned