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Red92
940315.2
395033.0
702839.1
Blue79
970920.2
328421.3
164028.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828740601001209279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#20
39.10.3
33.333.7
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End0.1
red by 10.3
1640
#68
28.70.4
34.434.0
Auto10.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
Second
33.00.3
25.826.1
Auto12.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 11.7
3284
#61
21.30.4
24.924.5
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End0.1
Third
9403
#60
15.20.3
15.816.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 5.0
9709
#38
20.20.4
18.518.1
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed