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Red116
253034.1
857523.9
248533.2
Blue117
901625.5
259041.4
742130.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210220406080120140160180116117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#10
34.11.4
32.534.0
Auto12.2
Teleop20.0
End1.9
blue by 7.3
2590
#11
41.41.7
36.037.7
Auto14.8
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Second
2485
#18
33.21.4
31.332.7
Auto12.3
Teleop18.5
End2.4
red by 2.3
7421
#43
30.91.7
30.832.5
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Third
8575
#46
23.91.4
20.822.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.7
End1.7
blue by 1.6
9016
#29
25.51.7
24.125.8
Auto11.5
Teleop10.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned61%Ensemble oddsEarned