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Red87
716628.3
978716.2
365422.9
Blue69
156130.5
95647.1
162226.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7170657580858769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#41
28.31.2
26.928.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
blue by 2.2
1561
#52
30.50.4
31.031.3
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End0.4
Second
3654
#57
22.91.2
22.023.2
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 3.3
1622
#40
26.10.4
26.727.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.5
Third
9787
#45
16.21.2
14.916.2
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 9.1
9564
#70
7.10.4
5.96.2
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed