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Red101
742631.2
101415.8
590734.7
Blue69
191224.9
940315.2
36525.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867320406010012014016010169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#30
34.71.3
32.734.0
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End2.2
red by 8.9
365
#47
25.80.6
26.525.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End3.3
Second
7426
#36
31.21.3
29.430.7
Auto8.8
Teleop20.0
End2.5
red by 6.3
1912
#55
24.90.6
25.725.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End1.2
Third
1014
#63
15.81.3
14.515.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 0.5
9403
#60
15.20.6
15.715.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned