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Red79
500215.8
851328.5
756714.1
Blue86
4525.4
719732.6
247219.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49930204060801001201407986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#19
28.51.9
26.428.4
Auto11.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
blue by 4.2
7197
#28
32.60.5
33.233.6
Auto12.2
Teleop18.8
End1.7
Second
5002
#59
15.81.9
11.813.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.1
End2.9
blue by 9.6
45
#37
25.40.5
25.425.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Third
7567
#54
14.11.9
11.613.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 5.7
2472
#53
19.80.5
20.420.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed