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Red86
568742.1
95647.1
328421.3
Blue110
742631.2
598721.2
463544.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691125010015086110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#24
42.10.9
41.242.1
Auto11.0
Teleop28.2
End2.8
blue by 2.2
4635
#14
44.20.6
45.345.8
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
Second
3284
#61
21.30.9
20.521.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End0.1
blue by 9.9
7426
#36
31.20.6
30.731.2
Auto8.8
Teleop20.0
End2.5
Third
9564
#70
7.10.9
6.27.1
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 14.1
5987
#48
21.20.6
20.621.2
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed