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Red99
756714.1
975237.9
93031.6
Blue83
213727.8
69883.8
12544.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898875808590951009983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.6
35.736.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.4
End2.1
blue by 6.8
125
#26
44.70.8
45.444.7
Auto14.9
Teleop23.0
End6.7
Second
930
#27
31.60.6
30.831.4
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1
red by 3.8
2137
#31
27.80.8
29.728.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.4
End5.0
Third
7567
#54
14.10.6
13.514.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
red by 10.3
6988
#72
3.80.8
4.63.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned84%Ensemble oddsEarned