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Qual 1182024 Curie Division
Red153
50329.1
436244.8
253943.5
Blue114
214537.2
395033.0
500215.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129824060100120140160180200153114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#2
44.82.5
43.9→46.3
Auto11.8
Teleop27.1
End6.0
red by 7.7
2145
#15
37.22.0
35.1→37.1
Auto13.9
Teleop21.0
End2.2
Second
2539
#3
43.52.5
40.6→43.0
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 10.5
3950
#6
33.02.0
31.1→33.1
Auto12.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
503
#12
29.12.5
26.6→29.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
red by 13.3
5002
#59
15.82.0
13.8→15.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
91%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed