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Qual 1192024 Curie Division
Red71
415915.2
540930.8
156130.5
Blue100
317919.4
590734.7
766023.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8882406010012014071100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5409
#50
30.80.9
31.6→30.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End8.7
blue by 3.9
5907
#30
34.70.7
34.0→34.7
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End2.2
Second
1561
#52
30.50.9
31.3→30.5
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End0.4
red by 7.5
7660
#39
23.00.7
22.3→23.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.4
End3.4
Third
4159
#56
15.20.9
16.1→15.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 4.2
3179
#42
19.40.7
18.7→19.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned