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Qual 1202024 Curie Division
Red85
409927.5
14428.3
191224.9
Blue132
19024.7
220043.2
259041.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511805010015020085132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#33
28.30.1
28.4→28.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
blue by 14.9
2200
#1
43.22.0
42.3→44.2
Auto12.3
Teleop23.5
End7.4
Second
4099
#64
27.50.1
27.6→27.5
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End1.2
blue by 14.0
2590
#11
41.42.0
37.7→39.7
Auto14.8
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Third
1912
#55
24.90.1
25.1→24.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End1.2
red by 0.3
190
#32
24.72.0
22.7→24.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed91%Ensemble oddsEarned