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Red57
888216.7
756714.1
214537.2
Blue120
716628.3
447638.6
206812.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6081204010012014057120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#15
37.20.0
29.329.2
Auto13.9
Teleop21.0
End2.2
blue by 1.5
4476
#22
38.61.6
36.237.8
Auto10.0
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Second
8882
#65
16.70.0
17.017.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 11.6
7166
#41
28.31.6
22.123.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Third
7567
#54
14.10.0
10.910.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
red by 1.6
2068
#62
12.51.6
12.914.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed