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Red81
766023.0
36525.8
784825.6
Blue56
191224.9
164028.7
95647.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726801002003004005008156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#47
25.80.7
24.725.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End3.3
blue by 3.0
1640
#68
28.70.4
34.033.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
Second
7848
#67
25.60.7
19.420.2
Auto10.1
Teleop13.6
End1.9
red by 0.7
1912
#55
24.90.4
20.920.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End1.2
Third
7660
#39
23.00.7
20.921.6
Auto9.2
Teleop10.4
End3.4
red by 15.9
9564
#70
7.10.5
7.26.7
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed