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Qual 1242024 Curie Division
Red128
872732.4
12544.7
857523.9
Blue125
753117.8
248145.8
384746.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10612050150200128125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#26
44.71.5
44.7→46.2
Auto14.9
Teleop23.0
End6.7
blue by 2.0
3847
#4
46.71.2
46.5→47.7
Auto15.3
Teleop26.1
End5.3
Second
8727
#34
32.41.5
30.9→32.4
Auto14.3
Teleop15.5
End2.6
blue by 13.4
2481
#21
45.81.2
44.2→45.4
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End3.0
Third
8575
#46
23.91.5
22.4→23.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.7
End1.7
red by 6.1
7531
#49
17.81.2
16.6→17.8
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
78%Ensemble oddsEarned79%Ensemble oddsMissed