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Red123
384746.7
213727.8
220043.2
Blue155
447638.6
702839.1
259041.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13512480100160180200123155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.2
47.747.6
Auto15.3
Teleop26.1
End5.3
red by 5.2
2590
#11
41.40.7
39.740.4
Auto14.8
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Second
43.20.2
44.244.1
Auto12.3
Teleop23.5
End7.4
red by 4.1
7028
#20
39.10.7
37.338.0
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End0.1
Third
2137
#31
27.80.2
28.928.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.4
End5.0
blue by 10.8
4476
#22
38.60.7
36.837.5
Auto10.0
Teleop26.0
End2.6