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Red88
975237.9
888216.7
50329.1
Blue62
248533.2
19024.7
247219.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7395204060801201408862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.91.3
31.332.6
Auto11.5
Teleop24.4
End2.1
red by 4.7
2485
#18
33.21.4
31.930.5
Auto12.3
Teleop18.5
End2.4
Second
503
#12
29.11.3
20.621.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End4.1
red by 4.4
190
#32
24.71.4
28.226.8
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Third
8882
#65
16.71.7
17.018.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 3.1
2472
#53
19.81.4
23.221.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned