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Red53
94166.6
604524.0
719732.6
Blue115
716628.3
590734.7
214537.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649120408010012014016053115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#28
32.60.6
32.632.0
Auto12.2
Teleop18.8
End1.7
blue by 4.5
2145
#15
37.22.0
29.231.3
Auto13.9
Teleop21.0
End2.2
Second
6045
#51
24.00.6
19.518.9
Auto8.6
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 10.7
5907
#30
34.72.0
26.428.4
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End2.2
Third
9416
#74
6.60.6
9.48.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 21.6
7166
#41
28.32.0
23.725.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned