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Qual 222024 Curie Division
Red97
252141.8
463544.2
206812.5
Blue64
404335.3
598721.2
34625.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111034060801201401609764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
44.20.2
40.9→40.8
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
red by 8.9
4043
#25
35.32.7
40.4→37.7
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End3.7
Second
2521
#8
41.80.2
43.9→43.7
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End3.1
red by 16.6
346
#69
25.22.7
29.5→26.8
Auto10.4
Teleop9.9
End5.0
Third
2068
#62
12.50.2
14.5→14.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 8.7
5987
#48
21.22.7
24.2→21.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned56%Ensemble oddsMissed