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Red94
566729.2
253943.5
753117.8
Blue82
36525.8
413115.9
447638.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859360801001201409482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.4
33.734.1
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 4.9
4476
#22
38.60.4
37.837.4
Auto10.0
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Second
5667
#35
29.20.4
27.427.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End0.8
red by 3.5
365
#47
25.80.4
25.425.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End3.3
Third
7531
#49
17.80.4
16.817.2
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End1.8
red by 1.8
4131
#71
15.90.4
20.119.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned49%Ensemble oddsMissed