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Red71
515237.0
888216.7
247219.8
Blue110
409927.5
590734.7
970920.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7984406010012071110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#13
37.00.1
31.431.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End2.8
red by 2.3
5907
#30
34.72.0
28.430.4
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End2.2
Second
2472
#53
19.80.1
21.821.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.5
End3.4
blue by 7.7
4099
#64
27.52.0
28.730.7
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End1.2
Third
8882
#65
16.70.1
18.718.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 3.5
9709
#38
20.22.0
17.919.9
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed