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Red70
940315.2
62435.3
598721.2
Blue82
500215.8
722631.9
212938.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818140601001207082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
35.30.2
36.336.1
Auto10.3
Teleop22.1
End2.9
blue by 3.1
2129
#23
38.40.5
33.133.6
Auto13.3
Teleop23.0
End2.1
Second
5987
#48
21.20.2
21.621.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
blue by 10.7
7226
#16
31.90.5
28.228.6
Auto8.8
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Third
9403
#60
15.20.2
15.715.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 0.5
5002
#59
15.80.5
11.812.2
Auto6.8
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed