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Red89
328421.3
784825.6
259041.4
Blue101
756714.1
252141.8
253943.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85102406012014089101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#11
41.40.7
34.435.1
Auto14.8
Teleop21.7
End4.9
blue by 2.0
43.50.1
34.134.2
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Second
7848
#67
25.60.7
20.220.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.6
End1.9
blue by 16.2
41.80.1
43.743.9
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End3.1
Third
3284
#61
21.30.7
24.124.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End0.1
red by 7.2
7567
#54
14.10.1
12.512.6
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsEarned