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Red80
566729.2
742631.2
156130.5
Blue99
214537.2
248533.2
318122.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103924060801201401608099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7426
#36
31.20.9
32.431.5
Auto8.8
Teleop20.0
End2.5
blue by 5.9
2145
#15
37.20.3
31.331.0
Auto13.9
Teleop21.0
End2.2
Second
1561
#52
30.50.9
31.630.7
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End0.4
blue by 2.8
2485
#18
33.20.3
30.530.1
Auto12.3
Teleop18.5
End2.4
Third
5667
#35
29.20.9
27.826.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End0.8
red by 6.5
3181
#44
22.70.3
22.422.1
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsEarned