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Red59
94166.6
365422.9
753117.8
Blue101
317919.4
191224.9
975237.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4879020406010012059101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#57
22.90.8
21.222.0
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 15.0
37.91.7
32.634.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.4
End2.1
Second
7531
#49
17.80.8
17.218.0
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End1.8
blue by 7.2
1912
#55
24.91.7
20.121.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End1.2
Third
9416
#74
6.60.8
8.99.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 12.7
3179
#42
19.41.7
15.216.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed