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Red93
515237.0
19024.7
214537.2
Blue90
851328.5
753117.8
463544.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979880901001101209390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#15
37.20.1
31.031.0
Auto13.9
Teleop21.0
End2.2
blue by 7.1
4635
#14
44.20.1
41.741.8
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
Second
5152
#13
37.00.1
31.431.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End2.8
red by 8.5
8513
#19
28.50.1
28.728.8
Auto11.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Third
190
#32
24.70.1
25.525.5
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 6.9
7531
#49
17.80.1
18.018.1
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsEarned