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Red76
766023.0
253943.5
191224.9
Blue66
206812.5
213727.8
248533.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86754060801001207666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.0
34.234.2
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 10.3
2485
#18
33.20.2
30.129.9
Auto12.3
Teleop18.5
End2.4
Second
1912
#55
24.90.0
21.821.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End1.2
blue by 2.9
2137
#31
27.80.2
25.725.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.4
End5.0
Third
7660
#39
23.00.0
20.720.6
Auto9.2
Teleop10.4
End3.4
red by 10.5
2068
#62
12.50.2
13.012.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
84%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed