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Red74
365422.9
101415.8
568742.1
Blue39
69883.8
872732.4
127915.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895402040801001201401607439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#24
42.10.1
40.640.5
Auto11.0
Teleop28.2
End2.8
red by 9.7
8727
#34
32.40.9
28.227.3
Auto14.3
Teleop15.5
End2.6
Second
3654
#57
22.90.1
22.021.8
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
red by 7.6
1279
#73
15.30.9
20.119.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Third
1014
#63
15.80.1
13.513.4
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 12.0
6988
#72
3.80.9
4.93.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed