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Red131
12544.7
860839.4
404335.3
Blue55
212938.4
716628.3
94166.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134685010015020013155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#26
44.71.2
42.543.6
Auto14.9
Teleop23.0
End6.7
red by 6.3
2129
#23
38.40.9
33.632.6
Auto13.3
Teleop23.0
End2.1
Second
39.41.2
34.235.3
Auto14.8
Teleop19.2
End5.4
red by 11.2
7166
#41
28.30.9
25.724.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Third
4043
#25
35.31.2
36.737.9
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End3.7
red by 28.7
9416
#74
6.60.9
9.68.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
84%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed