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Red72
95647.1
566729.2
900820.6
Blue132
436244.8
317919.4
384746.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5412110015072132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5667
#35
29.21.0
27.528.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End0.8
blue by 17.4
46.72.0
45.647.6
Auto15.3
Teleop26.1
End5.3
Second
9008
#66
20.61.0
24.025.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 24.2
44.82.0
39.341.3
Auto11.8
Teleop27.1
End6.0
Third
9564
#70
7.11.0
5.36.3
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 12.3
3179
#42
19.42.0
16.918.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed63%Ensemble oddsEarned