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Red100
667241.3
901625.5
975237.9
Blue93
719732.6
940315.2
220043.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079940608012014016018010093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.4
36.736.3
Auto11.2
Teleop27.7
End2.4
blue by 1.9
43.20.3
42.141.9
Auto12.3
Teleop23.5
End7.4
Second
37.90.4
34.333.9
Auto11.5
Teleop24.4
End2.1
red by 5.3
7197
#28
32.60.3
32.432.1
Auto12.2
Teleop18.8
End1.7
Third
9016
#29
25.50.4
24.824.4
Auto11.5
Teleop10.5
End3.5
red by 10.3
9403
#60
15.20.3
15.915.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed79%Ensemble oddsEarned